Lions vs Saints Spread, Trends, and Free Pick
January 7th, 2012

Detroit (10-6) at New Orleans (13-3) When: Saturday, January 7th, 2012 Where: Superdome, New Orleans, LA Time: 8:00 ET TV: NBC

The point spread for Saturday Night's NFC Wild Card game between the Detroit Lions and New Orleans Saints opened up at -10.5 on Monday morning in favor of the Saints at JustBet Sportsbook. As of Thursday afternoon, the line has moved up to -11. The total opened up at 58.5 and has not surprisingly moved up to 59. Right now, 72% of the betting public is on the Saints and 75% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Lions are 0-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Lions are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.

Saints are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.

Under is 6-2 in Lions last 8 games on fieldturf.

Over is 20-7 in Lions last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games in January.

Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games on fieldturf.

Prediction: This Wild Card game is a rematch of a December 4th contest in which the Saints beat the Lions 31-17. Since then, the Lions have won 3 of 4 and are averaging 35 points a game. The problem is, they are also allowing 27 points a game. That's not a good stat to have coming to the Superdome. The Saints have covered 12 of their 16 games this year. There doesn't seem to be a line big enough they can't cover. This line of 11 seems like a gift. While playing at home, the Saints average 41 points a game. You take that and add the fact that this is a playoff game at night against a team that just can't stop anyone right now. I'll take the Saints to roll in this one.

Saints -11

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